Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.144600 0.176215 0.210456 0.250001 0.294122 0.341560 0.396146
2025-03-09 0.099729 0.140693 0.189025 0.249015 0.320280 0.401125 0.498662
2025-03-16 0.065866 0.109287 0.165344 0.239954 0.333758 0.445151 0.584822
2025-03-23 0.049504 0.095630 0.160143 0.251083 0.370554 0.517311 0.706434
2025-03-30 0.034182 0.078997 0.147523 0.250038 0.390651 0.568977 0.804616
2025-04-06 0.023627 0.066277 0.137670 0.250618 0.411631 0.621519 0.904750
2025-04-13 0.017048 0.058078 0.132847 0.257065 0.439942 0.683694 1.018137
2025-04-20 0.012521 0.052055 0.130205 0.265871 0.471234 0.750127 1.138077
2025-04-27 0.008956 0.046448 0.127059 0.273095 0.499988 0.813441 1.254887
2025-05-04 0.005603 0.039173 0.119245 0.271622 0.515318 0.858304 1.347766
2025-05-11 0.003692 0.034712 0.115898 0.276877 0.540405 0.916777 1.459422
2025-05-18 0.002004 0.028982 0.108502 0.274119 0.552633 0.957045 1.546821
2025-05-25 0.000675 0.021685 0.095635 0.260322 0.547158 0.972511 1.601759
2025-06-01 0.000274 0.018721 0.092427 0.263950 0.569364 1.028166 1.712807
2025-06-08 0.000038 0.014527 0.084416 0.257207 0.574014 1.057991 1.788265
2025-06-15 0.000009 0.013790 0.086323 0.270467 0.612301 1.138186 1.935341
2025-06-22 NaN 0.011369 0.082016 0.270314 0.627709 1.184370 2.034979
2025-06-29 NaN 0.009454 0.078566 0.271479 0.645171 1.233751 2.139613
2025-07-06 NaN 0.008408 0.077905 0.278601 0.673088 1.299341 2.268046
2025-07-13 NaN 0.007698 0.078318 0.288077 0.705292 1.371837 2.407015
2025-07-20 NaN 0.006902 0.078015 0.295807 0.734506 1.440082 2.540514
2025-07-27 NaN 0.005487 0.073997 0.294322 0.746930 1.482401 2.636869
2025-08-03 NaN 0.004759 0.072982 0.299900 0.772249 1.545058 2.763292